The red-state backlash against electric vehicles is incoherent — and gaining steam

Fahrer said:

There are currently about 290 million cars on the road in the US. A relatively insignificant percentage of those are EVs. And, over the next 5-10 years, my guess is that the sales of new cars here will be below 10% for EVs. ICEs will remain the dominant powertrain for the national fleet for some time ( decades). Gasoline is a commodity and the capacity is carefully balance with demand. Also, refineries have been shutting down for years and this has had essentially no impact on the price of gas. Other factors are more significant such as geopolitical issues for crude. And, the fact that a significant premium must be paid to obtain an EV vs. an equivalent ICE car, this will have a slowing effect on adoption of EVs. It takes some time to get your money back on the EV premium assuming one can afford that premium. Most people cannot. Toyota has been very cautious about EVs and may not be as wrong as some believe.

ICEs have their place and are more practical for longer trips and if living in less developed areas. They cost significantly less up front which is a real advantage for most buyers.

EVs are the perfect tool for driving in developed areas, for short trips where range is not a big factor, even in winter where not getting your ICE up to full operating temperature is an issue.

I intend to have one of each in the future.

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